XRP Price Jumps on 200% Futures Volume Surge: $4.50 Target in Sight

Key takeaways:

XRP (XRP) has risen by over 10% since Thursday, when Ripple and the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) agreed to dismiss their legal appeals against one another.

XRP futures volume surpasses Solana

XRP futures trading volume spiked over 200% in the past 24 hours to $12.4 billion, overtaking Solana’s $9.6 billion, according to onchain data resource Glassnode.

Rising futures volume often reflects heightened trader interest and speculative positioning, especially after major news events. In XRP’s case, it’s the end of the long-running SEC vs Ripple lawsuit.

Open interest, which shows the value of unsettled futures contracts, also climbed 15% to about $5 billion.

At 0.01%, XRP’s positive daily funding rate suggested that most traders were taking long positions, anticipating further upside.

Heavy long positioning can also increase downside risk, Glassnode warned. That suggested overleveraged traders could face liquidations, potentially accelerating a correction, if the price turned lower from current levels.

XRP’s cost basis distribution data shows that the $2.80–$2.82 range holds the largest cluster of supply, with over 1.70 billion tokens acquired at those prices.

This concentration of holders could act as a key support level if prices pull back, as many traders in profit may defend their entries.

XRP price technicals hint at 35% gains ahead

XRP’s rise further caused its price to break above the upper trendline of a bull flag chart pattern. Its volumes rose alongside, confirming momentum behind the breakout.

Traditional analysts measure a bull flag’s upside target by adding the height of the previous uptrend to the breakout point.

For XRP, this points to a target above $4.50, about 35% higher than current levels, by September or October.

A potential Federal Reserve rate cut in September could further fuel appetite for riskier assets like XRP.

The $4.50 target echoed multiple analysts in recent weeks.

That included Mikybull Crypto, who predicted the XRP price would climb to $5-$8 by 2025’s end, and Dom, who projected $10.

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